With the mid-term elections just a few days away, the Republicans are trying to keep the congressional districts they considered previously safe. A new poll has found a closest match in one of the least likely areas in the country.
A new poll in Pennsylvania 11th Congressional district was published by Susquehanna Polls and Research found that Republican incumbent Lloyd Smucker leads Democratic Jess King by only four percentage points – a margin of 50-46. The poll received a sample of 311 potential voters on 21 and 22 October.
A win at Lancaster headquarters would be literally unprecedented for Democrats. This prefecture, the heart of the Dutch country of Pennsylvania, "is literally the only place in America that has never been elected as a Democrat in the House," DailyKos analyst Stephen Wolf wrote.
More strikingly, the Democrats are competing in a region they really got more Republican after the State Supreme Court struck the Republican Senator of Pennsylvania and ordered a more fair map. Smucker now represents the old 16th congressional region, which Trump brought 6.8%. But the recently pulled 11th where he runs now went for Trump by 25.8 percent. There are about 100,000 more Republicans declared in the region than Democrats.
Smucker had previously had a huge lead in raising funds against the King, but the rebellious Democrat has almost tied the long-term operator after spending $ 635,000 to $ 254,000 in the last quarter.
"Chances are still [Smucker’s] thanks to the nature of the region, "said G. Terry Madonna, director of the Franklin & Marshall College of Politics and Public Affairs. LancasterOnline. "If [King] wins that will be one of the biggest turmoil in the country. "
This is a very democratic area that could reverse a possible blue wave coming next week.
Emily Singer of Roll Call References that the National Democratic Campaign Committee (NRCC) recently launched ads in South Carolina 1st Communist district, which Trump brought with 13 points and Wisconsin 6th region, which the chairman had with 16 points.
The only poll in South Carolina 1st was in August when Democratic Katie Arrington led Republican Joe Cunningham 7 percent. Wisconsin 6th saw the first poll he published earlier this week, showing that Republican Dan Kohl is coming back from the established Republican Glenn Grothman only 2 percent.
The new data published by a democratic referendum earlier this week also found that the Democratic Prime Minister of Iowa, a point in the middle of one lost controversy over the hat of white nationalists in Canada and Europe. Trumpet brought King's 4th area from an imposing 27 points.
With a huge war chest and former New York City mayor, Mike Bloomberg, promised to pass $ 20 million to elect Democrats in the last week of the campaign, the situation for Republicans may worsen.
The New York Times said at the weekend that the Democrats' huge asset for raising funds put Republicans on defense in "more conservative, exotic areas" and not just in the suburbs. The "competition sector," according to the Times, has now grown to "far more than 40 seats".
Democrats need 23 seats to turn the House. Election program Five minutes gives Democrats 85% chance of gaining control, and currently gains about 39 positions.
Igor Derysh is a New York-based political writer, whose work appeared in Los Angeles Times, Chicago Tribune, Boston Herald and Baltimore Sun.
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