A great thunderstorm to blow up the eastern US


CLOSE

Most of the country will have nice weather in polls on Tuesday, except for the East Coast and the plains where there are rain and storms.
USA TODAY

A strong storm is projected to blow up parts of the eastern US on Election Days with rain, wind and potentially strong storms.

Ugly weather can affect both voter turnout and election outcome in some battle countries Tuesday: Recent studies have found that Republican candidates tend to have a small advantage when it rains.

In the Great Lakes and the Northeast, the rain caused by the wind will make a difficult Election Day. Some eastern bursts will be over 40 miles per hour in parts of the Great Lakes, within Northeast and South East New England, according to the Weather Channel. Heavier rain is expected to absorb New England and New York, where flooding is possible.

Even in the southern, mid-Atlantic and Southeastern Europe, heavy and severe storms are predicted to roar from Philadelphia to Atlanta, warned the Storm Forecast Center. Damaging winds and few wind turbines are possible as well as local rainfall, according to Weather Channel.

In the north-central United States, it is possible to have a wet snow or rain change from North Dakota in northern Minnesota and Upper Michigan. Light snow sets are provided.

Overall, the lower normal temperatures are expected in the north-central US Tuesday: Highs will only reach 20 and 30. The cool winds will add to the chill.

In the West, heavy snow is possible at the highest altitudes of northern Idaho and western Montana in western Wyoming, the National Weather Service said. The snow could make for spots streets on the way to the polls.

While some light showers are likely in Washington state, the rest of the West should be dry and gentle on Tuesday, AccuWeather said, with no weather problems.

Rain favors Republicans, say studies

Republicans may be issued for rainy weather on Election Days: A recent study revealed that at least 1% of adults in the United States – people who would have voted for a Democrat had a good time – they decided instead to vote for a Republican on rainy election days.

"Our study shows that weather conditions can influence people's decisions not only on whether to vote but also on who they are voting on," said Yusaku Horiuchi, a professor at the Dartmouth College, co-signing.

"Contrary to the widespread belief that weather does not change electoral decisions of voters," the study said, "our analysis shows that it is likely that a certain percentage of US voters will change their party's preference in time" .

Obviously on Election Days, rain raises pessimism and raises fears of danger: "Those who feel optimistic about can bend to the most risky candidate, while those who feel depressed and anxious are leaning towards the safer candidate."

So, "the choice for people who are not at risk is to vote for Republicans," Horiuchi said.

The study appeared in December 2017 in American Politics Research.

More: Should the Trump pray for Rain on Election Day?

This report extends to a previous survey, which also said that Republicans should hope for an abusive Election Day. In a 2007 study, researchers found that for every inch of rain above the average of the day, the Republican presidential candidate received about 2.5% of the vote.

This 2007 study indicated that it was partly because the extra cost of traveling to the polls on a rainy or snowy day reduces the voter's participation and increases the participation of the Republicans.

Read or share this story: https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2018/11/05/election-day-weather-forecast-big-storm-blast-eastern-us/1891149002/