Although the midterm elections have historically low voter turnout, the total voting results in 27 states have surpassed the total of first votes in the 2014 midterm elections, according to the University of Florida Election Program. This may indicate a higher participation of voters as a whole in the 2018 elections in the meantime
Professor Michael McDonald of the University of Florida, who oversees the electoral work, told Reds & Blue at CBSN on Thursday that total voting results could indicate 45 to 50 percent voter turnout in elections on election day.
"In the last three decades, we had about 40% of the people eligible to take part in the mid-term elections. If we get to the top of this series, if we can win the 49% participation in 1966, it must go up to 1914 to gain more than 50 percent, "said McDonald.
Some states that have seen higher than normal participation in the first elections – including Arizona, Nevada, Indiana, Missouri and North Dakota – have crucial elections that could determine the balance of power in the Senate. In Texas, which hosts another crucial struggle of the Senate, all of the first polls surpassed the 2014 general vote, including the early vote and the election day.
Florida and Georgia, two more states with an early poll higher than in 2014, have close tribal protesters, each with strong candidates for Republican candidates facing progressive African-American Democrats. Both fights have the potential to make history: Florida's Andrew Gillum could be the third black man elected governor, and Georgia's Stacey Abrams could be the first black woman to be elected governor in the country.
Several of these states have been accused of encouraging the repression of voters, especially for minorities. In, 53,000 voting requests have been suspended, with 70% of black voters. In , the Supreme Court has upheld a restrictive law on the number of voters that primarily affects Native Americans.
Mr McDonald noted that even the states without Senate and Governor elections saw the high voter turnout early, with Democrats having an advantage. In states that have these narrow tribes, "everyone votes", which means that a party does not necessarily have an advantage.
High profile politicians visit several states with close matches. In the last week before the election, President Trump rallies for candidate Republicans in Florida, Missouri, West Virginia, Indiana, Montana, Georgia, Tennessee and Ohio. Former President Barack Obama and former Vice-President Joe Biden also visit several of these states to rally Democrats on the election day.
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