Early voting data show an increase in the vote of young people in key countries


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An election organizer group discusses the issues that motivate young voters in the polls in the 2018 elections in the meantime.
USA TODAY

CHICAGO – The rise in total total votes in key nation-wide states suggests that 2018 could be the year when young people eventually appear for mid-term elections.

For decades, large voters have dominated the electorate in non-presidential years. But the early and the absence of the young between the ages of 18 and 29 has increased dramatically in several states with intense struggles – such as Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Illinois, Nevada and Texas – compared to the average race 2014.

Early youth voting in Illinois increased by 144% compared to mid-2014. More than 70% of 6,200 undergraduate students at the University of Chicago registered to vote through TurboVote application. At the university, the student waited for an hour to vote.

Former voter Eric You, 18, spent the Halloween candy bags on the doorsteps of college students at the University of Chicago containing a millennium-long reminder: Do not be a ghost of the vote.

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You, member of the non-Parisian initiative UChi Votes, said his motives are simple.

"I want to have control over this president," you said.

If the trend of early youth voting subsides, it could boost the likelihood of Democrats getting the 23 seats they need to take control of the House and earn enough tribal demonstrations, according to a Harvard University poll published last week. Polls show that the Republicans could add 51-49 margin to the Senate.

40% of the young voters who responded said they would "vote for sure" mid-year, according to Harvard poll. 54% of Democrats said there was a high chance of voting. 43 percent of Republicans showed a high probability.

Less than 20% of young people rushed to vote in 2014. That was half the proportion of the general population.

Elections for early voting before Election Day suggest that this year may be different.

More than 35 million Americans have already filed their interim ballots, an increase of 75 percent compared to about 20 million voted ballots before the 2014 Election Day.

At national level, voters from 18 to 39 almost tripled their voting power from 2014. This increased their share of early voting by more than 3 percentage points.

The percentage of early voter voting between 50 and 64, meanwhile, has fallen by more than 2.5 percentage points. The percentage of people aged over 65 decreased by almost 5 points.

In Georgia, where Democracy Stacey Abrams wants to become the first black woman governor in the history of the nation, new voters hit nearly 215,000 votes since Saturday – a 362 per cent increase over the same spot in the 2014 elections, according to the TargetSmart, a civil data provider.

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In Nevada, where Democrat Senator Dean Heller is locked in a tight race with Democrat Jacky Rosen, young voters have achieved over 56,000 ballots, a 409% wave in the first and absent votes.

About 300,000 young Florida people are throwing early ballots, an increase of 111% over their 2014 membership.

The state has two marquee matches. For the governor, polls show that the mayor of Tallahassee, mayor Andrew Gillum, has a small advantage over Republican Ron De Santis. The seat is currently held by Republican Commander Rick Scott.

For the Senate, polls show that Scott is near the democratic establishment Bill Nelson.

Sun state voters are younger, more racially different and less likely to belong to a political party than any other time in recent decades, an analysis of the USA Today network was discovered.

Seventy-six percent of voters aged 65 and over are non-Hispanic whites. Only 50% of Florida voters under 30 are.

New voters account for about 6.8% of pre-elected voters and elected voters in Florida. In 2014, they were about 4.8%. The proportion of early voters 65 years and over has fallen to 44.6%, from 47.8% in 2014.

Susan MacManus, a retired professor of political science at the University of South Florida, predicted that new voters would decide the state's tribes. A large number of young people would help Democrats. if they remain largely at home, the Republicans will win.

"They will make one person the winner," he said. "Or are going to make the other winner."

The number of newcomers voted in Arizona this year is more than double that of the last six months of the election, according to data from the Secretary of State's office.

The younger voters, aged between 18 and 24, lead all other age groups to new voters registered as of 1 January. The early vote among Arizona voters is about 186% from Friday compared to the same spot in 2014 in the meantime.

In Missouri, one of the 13 states that does not allow timely voting or timely voting without valid excuse, Democrats and Republican students at Missouri University have worked with a group of non-student students to enroll more than 2,000 students this autumn.

In the most popular Show Me State contest, Democrat Senator Claire McCaskill is fighting a challenge by Democrat Prosecutor Josh Hawley. Polls show that Halley, with slight progress, said President Trab won almost 19 percentage points in 2016.

Kayla Everett, head of Missouri College Democrats, said the Trump's 2016 victory triggered a lamp for many students who did not pay much attention to politics – especially to young women.

"After 2016, the mood on campus was different," he said. "Young people are more devoted and recognize that they need to know better what is happening."

Maxx Cook, the chairman of Missouri College Republicans, said his organization has seen a concern about students coming to group events. University campuses tend to the left, but Cook said today's generation is more open to political ideology than in the past.

"There is energy with these elections among young people," he said. "But I think we have to wait and see where the new votes go."

Contributing to: Rachel Leingang and John McCarthy

Follow the American TODAY the national correspondent Aamer Madhani on Twitter: @AmerISmad

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