The Democratic Governor would be a political tsunami in Florida


If Andrew Gillum defeats Ron Dean Guy on Tuesday – anything but certain – it will not be just the first time the Democrats have won a governor contest in 24 years.

"It would be like an earthquake," said Hillsborough businessman Alex Sink, who just lost his 2010 campaign to Rick Scott.

"A change in the sea," said Chris Korge, a Miami lawyer who is one of the country's top democratic amateurs.

"A game of change," said Democrat General Ashley Walker of Broward, who helped Barack Obama win Florida in 2008 and 2012.

Of the many bizarre aspects of Florida's policy, one of the most striking is that the state of the Sun is so totally purple-state competitive in the presidential election, but so dark red Republican when it comes to the government of the state.

In the last five presidential elections, the Democrats won two, the Republicans won two and tied the 2000 butterfly election. But visit the Tallahassee Capitol, far from most of Florida's voters, and you think you are in Wyoming because the place is so democratic .

Democrats in the largest state of America's battle are virtually unrelated to governing a state where Republicans hold the governor's mansion, both chambers of law, and the three other state offices: Advocate-General, Chief Financial Officer and Agriculture .

It's a vicious circle.

Winning campaigns in a state as big as Florida takes a lot of money, and state elections overwhelmingly funded by people or companies wanting something from the state government.

Democrats have so little influence in Tallahassee that special interests give a lot more money to Republicans because they belong to the party that can help them. A group of people or groups of interests who generously gives the Democrats, can only guarantee that he will hear it from dissatisfied Republican leaders who can not afford it.

Potentially competing legislative struggles are usually not because the Republican candidate has four or five times more money to spend than the Republican.

With the chances of being stacked for them, many of the most appropriate and strongest democratic legislative perspectives take a pass from running and disturbing their lives.

It is difficult to build a bench of strong, future state candidates.

And it is becoming more and more difficult to pair and maintain an efficient and sustained body of profitable political strategies – the type that Florida Republicans have sprinkled throughout the region in pressure outlets and government agencies. Many abrupt Democratic consultants leave Florida after the candidate loses a big fight.

"I had all these fantastic youngsters staggered to go to the governor's office, but if you do not win, jobs are needed." We have really exhausted talent policy. "

"When you lose for 20 years it's like a death coil," he said.
The next governor will make thousands of appointments and recruits – to state agencies, councils and judges, including three judges at the Florida Supreme Court.

The next governor will have a right of veto over the congressional regions to be submitted as part of the redistribution process.

The next governor will give his presidential candidate in 2020.

"As for the importance to the Democrats, it will be as great as the history of Florida," said Korge. "The Republicans have made the Democratic Party extremely irrelevant for 20 years, and the Democratic governor would make it immediately extremely important in every aspect of politics."

Even if the legislative power controlled by the GOP rules out many of Gov's priorities. Gillum, such as the Medicaid expansion or a significant increase in funding from school, would have the bully pulp.

"The governor has the strongest voice in Florida," said St. Petersburg Mayor Rick Chrisman.

A Democratic governor would have the ability to advance his priorities in Florida in a way that no one has of the late Lawton Chiles.

"It's a tremendous opportunity for everyone to see people need a higher living income, better access to health care, they will see that it is the key to the future and how to build a progressive economy for business," said Miami Beach businessman and Former government candidate Philip Leven.

None of these means that Gillum is likely to be the next governor of Florida.

"It's super, very close," said Ashley Walker. "Everyone could go."

It is usually super, super close to these large racial tribes.

The drama continues in the same way when it comes to non-presidential elections.

Another Republican wins the race of another governor. And angry Florida Democrats are wondering if they can sink any lower ones. The spiral of death continues.