Published at 5:00 pm ET on 2 November 2018
The Republicans could not understand that Barack Obama would be re-elected in 2012. And he's beginning to feel like a repeat in which Trump gets the last laugh in 2020.
I thought we were back in the 1990's. Clinton. Trust. Treat the look. We are still watching "The Simpsons" and Wolf Blitzer.
But now I realize – we do not relive the 90s, but rather a resumption of Barack Obama's presidency.
The president is polarized, but not historically popular. The approval of President Donald Trump later The NBC News / Wall Street poll Journal (47%) was higher than Obama shortly before 2010. In fact, Trump is in better shape than seven of the last 17 presidents in its first middle, according to Aaron Blake of The Washington Post.
The non-existent counterintelligence theorists on the right coral about Obama's origins and religious preferences have been replaced by the ridiculously angry shores of the left. There were Republicans who believed that Obama would leave office with his birth certificate, just like Democrats who believe in their hearts that Robert Muller will open the door of the Oval House and leave the White House on the handcuffed table.
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He was a weak mind in Bologna then and now, under the auspices of people who can not cope with losses and who are more interested in conspiracy theories than in the results of our democratic processes.
While Republicans may lose the majority of their Houses in the next six months (like the Obama Democrats in 2010), the GOP seems to be on track to keep the Senate running an electoral charter like the one that promoted Trump in the Presidency. The Flyover country remains happy with Trump, while urban areas and shores are not.
Democrats remain failing to act mad
Regardless of the size of any new majority in the Democratic Party, the conference will contain enough new members to reflect the angry liberal mob, which seems to be the core of the Democratic Party. Almost 80 per cent of Democrats said in CNN polls in September that Trump should be called into question and that more than six million people signed a petition that demanded it.
If the presumed Speaker of Parliament, Nancy Pelosi, travels that road (something that will require his base), he will be another record of a political fire the Democrats exercise every day. Again and again, the Democrats are delivering issues that could really hurt Trump but fail to act crazy. In Central America, Democrats resemble Chris Farley's Tommy Boy, who is trying to sell brake pads to troubled car shop owners.
Tommy, of course, finally pulled together and saved the family business. I'm not sure the Democrats will do it, as well as their madness for the benefit of Trump.
I remember well how difficult it was to defeat the leader of the president in 2012. For four years, the Obama White House set up a juggernaut for data collection and fundraising, while Mitt Romney, who struggled to put many opponents in a GOP capital " with a simultaneous take-off by an aircraft carrier, "as the campaign's political director once told me.
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The same happens again. As Democrats embrace a royal battle, The Washington Post says the Trump re-election campaign for 2020 has "pumped at least $ 106 million" and seems to dominate the dollar-dollar game. Sounds familiar?
Democrats are destined for a full and violent case, full of arguments for ideological purity and self-confidence of political identity. In 2020, being white and / or man will be in the Democratic prime of what is Mormon or the "installation" was in the Republicans in 2012.
What should an old white male like Biden do?
The British Government Supreme Court Brett Kavanaugh's confirmation match showed the intense despair that the liberal activists have for the "old whites" in our politics, which explains why Elizabeth Warren struggles so hard to keep the "woman of the stain" a little but very likely to be less Native American than the average American of European descent. What is an old white male like Joe Biden, seemingly the party coach, to do? Romney will make the same argument – the choice – at a time when his party "sets a historical number of women and men of color for the office," according to Time Magazine.
The Democratic champion will be more fun than a child's play room before bedtime, full of the same stumbles and drama. Can Biden's claims for competitiveness in the Mediterranean to mitigate the desire of liberal activists for youth and diversity?
At dinner earlier this year, among some experienced political hands, I wanted, due to the internal struggles prevailing for Democrats, that Trab had better than 50 percent the chance to re-elected. The table burst into laughter. The companions of my dinner can be right – a recession could hit, or, less likely, a special advisor Robert Mueller could throw a bomb. Either he could sink the established president.
But many Republicans have failed to understand that Obama will be re-elected in 2012. And he's beginning to feel like a repeat in which Trump gets the last laugh.
Scott Jennings is CNS Associate and Partner in RunSwitch Public Relations. This column appeared for the first time in The Courier (Louisville, Ky.). You can follow it on Twitter: @ScottJenningsKY.
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